I have to hold my hands up - I was wrong. Upon David Moyes’ appointment at Manchester United last year I was 100 per cent confident he would be a success.
Being an Everton fan, I had very few complaints from Moyes’ tenure - I was sure he would do well.
He inherited an ageing dressing room including washed-up stars like Paul Gascoigne and David Ginola and had very little money to spend.
He slowly but surely turned the club around and we owe him a lot.
However, as much as I have defended him to the hilt during his atrocious maiden season at Old Trafford, I have to say I would give him the boot now - albeit with a heavy heart.
I could stop typing here and just insert the endless list of damning statistics that indicate Moyes is out of his depth at United.
Stats can sometimes be misleading, but they just sum the situation up for me.
Yes, Moyes wasn’t helped by the departure of chief executive David Gill last summer, as I have no doubt his successor Ed Woodward is also to blame for the club’s dismal performance in the transfer market.
But having signed one of the stand-out performers in Europe last season in Juan Mata and still not induced massive improvement in their performances on the pitch, I wonder if their lack of activity in the transfer market made much difference in hindsight.
Moyes was perfect for Everton when he came in to replace Walter Smith.
He quickly made us very difficult to beat and was very effective in the transfer market, meaning we could develop a better squad.
We had a poor record against the top sides on the whole though and he has taken that with him to United.
Playing against the six teams currently above them in the league to date, Moyes has only won one game - a 1-0 home-win against Arsenal - drawing three and losing the other seven.
They scored only five during those games and conceded 19 - damning numbers from every angle.
Speaking to a lot of United fans, I genuinely believe a season of transition wouldn’t be a huge problem for them, although tough to take after 20-odd years of success.
Their main bark with the Moyes era is the consistently poor performances and the total lack of a tactictal direction or identity.
If United were passing the ball and playing to their strengths, I think they’d quite happily endure the defeats.
That’s not the case, and although I really do admire the United fans for not turning on Moyes (yet), their patience could well be worthless.
People will obviously wonder who could come in and do a better job - that is the case when any manager comes under pressure.
While they won’t be able to attract the likes of Jose Mourinho or Pepe Guardiola, I would be sure that Louis van Gaal, Jurgen Klopp or Diego Simeone would get United at least moving forward.
It hurts me to say it, but I think his days are numbered.